Greyhound Handicapping – How Important is Post Position?

22/10/2011

It doesn’t take too long for Greyhound handicappers to figure out that the best post positions at almost all dog tracks are the 1, 2, 3, and 8 boxes. If you look at the statistics in the program, you’ll find that the three inside positions and the far outside one account for way more dogs in the money than the other boxes. So, why don’t we just bet 1238 quiniela and trifecta boxes and clean up at the track?

Well, some people DO bet those numbers, but I don’t think it works Too. First, since everyone knows about them, when they arrive they are not paying too much. On the other hand, even if the dog is most often available in these boxes, other boxes will remain. The winner is "Golden" whether one or another one of the boxes in the race, there is no way to tell.

Greyhound

Later, on a position that is my opinion that it is important that the dog loved the post position, whether it is in motionfavorable post position or a less favorable one – for that individual dog’s running style.

Let’s say there’s a dog – we’ll call him Sparky – who’s had six races in inside boxes and hasn’t been in the money in one of them. Today, he’s in the five box. You look at all of Sparky’s previous races (read about how to do that in my previous article “Winning With Connections”) and see that he’s a solid mid-track runner with early speed. That might explain why he’s had trouble in almost all of the races he ran from inside boxes.

When Sparky breaks and zips over to the middle of the track, he’s probably had breakers beside him, some of whom were probably trying to get inside. They bumped Sparky and he bumped them and that explains why he didn’t come in. But now, Sparky is right where he wants to be and probably pretty dad-blamed sick of getting knocked around.

To me, this situation is ripe for a betting opportunity. Sparky looks lousy to the bettors who are only looking at the six races they can see in the program. But I know from looking at the Greyhound Data site that he’s had some very good races from the middle of the track, so I have good reason to think that he’s a contender in this race due to his favorable post position.

If you want to check out how often this kind of situation happens, look over your old programs for dogs who win and pay well. Many times, it’s because they looked lousy in their last six races because they weren’t in the post position they wanted to be in. Pay particular attention to dogs who have been in outside boxes and then move to the 1 or 2 box.

Greyhound Handicapping – How Important is Post Position?

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